Sunday, July 06, 2008

Frequent Extreme Weather Events scenario for 20 years

Federal Agriculture Minister Tony Burke has likened a scientific study into links between climate change and drought to the final chapters of a disaster novel.

We live in strange times.

Mr Burke on Sunday released a joint assessment by the Bureau of Meteorology and the CSIRO, which found that what are now considered to be one in 25 year climate events could become as frequent as once every one to two years.

In particular, the study found exceptionally high temperatures would occur almost yearly, while low rainfall would almost double in frequency from current figures.

The report found about 50 per cent of the rainfall decrease in south-western Australia since the 1950s was likely due to greenhouse gases.


The reports are inputs into agricultural policy development. It's gratifying to see a Government allow science to inform policy development, at last.

"While this is a scientific report, parts of these high level projections read more like a disaster novel than a scientific report," Mr Burke told reporters.

"What's clear is that the cycle of drought is going to be more regular and deeper than ever."

Mr Burke said events of extreme temperature, which currently occurred once every 20 to 25 years, were forecast to happen once every one to two years coming up to 2030.

The area of Australia declared to be in drought would double and the likelihood of drought would also double, Mr Burke said.

"What this means is that in terms of government policy, we now know what would happen if we did nothing," he said.

"If we fail to review drought policy, if we were to continue the neglect and pretend that the climate wasn't changing we would be leaving our farmers out to dry well and truly."

The CSIRO report is the first in the federal government's three stage review of drought policy with the scientific findings to be fed into an analysis of social policy and economic review being undertaken by the Productivity Commission.

The release of the report follows the announcement for drought figures in NSW, which put 65 per cent of the state in drought, an increase of more than two per cent on last month.


Technorati Tags: , , ,

6 comments:

samjohn said...

Hi, I tried to find an email on this blog so i could email you about this but was unable to locate it. As an environmentalist you might be interested in this offering from Whereis.com.au. They'll offset the greenhouse gases from any trip planned through their site, which is free to do. So although its a corporate promotion, theres a real chance for the environment to gain. the site is at http://thegreenroad.com.au/

Wadard said...

HI SamJohn, it's a great idea. I'll support it

samjohn said...

Thanks mate, great to see you like the idea. I've Stumbled and dugg this post so hope you get a bit of extra exposure. Don't hesitate to pass the info on, lets get it out there.

Wadard said...

Once you have some results, let me know how the promo is going, I would love to do a follow up ost. I take it you are doing marketing for Whereis.

samjohn said...

Half and half. My girlfriend is in marketing and when she's got something wortwhile like this i try to get it a bit of exposure. Got some results for you btw.

Registrations: 5492

Number of whereis journeys offset: 6144

Kilometers offset: 669,738.6kms

Tonnes of Carbon offset: 187.528 tonnes

Trees planted: 700

123 123 said...

Cool story as for me. I'd like to read something more concerning this topic. Thnx for giving that data.
The only thing it would be great to see here is such photo like on california escorts :)
Sexy Lady
High Class Escorts